Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.003344 0.003508 0.003676 0.003860 0.004057 0.004262 0.004491
2025-05-25 0.003104 0.003353 0.003618 0.003922 0.004262 0.004632 0.005066
2025-06-01 0.002911 0.003207 0.003529 0.003909 0.004348 0.004840 0.005439
2025-06-08 0.002752 0.003077 0.003440 0.003877 0.004394 0.004990 0.005737
2025-06-15 0.002603 0.002946 0.003336 0.003815 0.004392 0.005074 0.005949
2025-06-22 0.002480 0.002837 0.003248 0.003762 0.004394 0.005154 0.006153
2025-06-29 0.002401 0.002774 0.003211 0.003764 0.004457 0.005308 0.006450
2025-07-06 0.002271 0.002645 0.003086 0.003653 0.004372 0.005268 0.006494
2025-07-13 0.002211 0.002596 0.003057 0.003656 0.004428 0.005407 0.006773
2025-07-20 0.002179 0.002581 0.003067 0.003708 0.004546 0.005629 0.007172
2025-07-27 0.002111 0.002517 0.003013 0.003675 0.004551 0.005699 0.007365
2025-08-03 0.002053 0.002463 0.002969 0.003651 0.004567 0.005783 0.007578
2025-08-10 0.001994 0.002408 0.002923 0.003625 0.004577 0.005861 0.007789
2025-08-17 0.001975 0.002403 0.002940 0.003681 0.004703 0.006103 0.008249
2025-08-24 0.001929 0.002361 0.002908 0.003670 0.004732 0.006210 0.008514
2025-08-31 0.001879 0.002311 0.002864 0.003641 0.004735 0.006277 0.008720
2025-09-07 0.001820 0.002249 0.002801 0.003583 0.004695 0.006279 0.008825
2025-09-14 0.001768 0.002195 0.002747 0.003535 0.004666 0.006295 0.008951
2025-09-21 0.001738 0.002168 0.002729 0.003537 0.004709 0.006419 0.009252
2025-09-28 0.001670 0.002090 0.002640 0.003434 0.004596 0.006302 0.009158
2025-10-05 0.001644 0.002067 0.002624 0.003437 0.004637 0.006421 0.009456
2025-10-12 0.001635 0.002067 0.002640 0.003485 0.004745 0.006649 0.009946
2025-10-19 0.001599 0.002029 0.002603 0.003454 0.004735 0.006689 0.010120